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Old 03-22-2005, 03:48 PM
UncleSalty UncleSalty is offline
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Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: Composing Vogon poetry
Posts: 513
Default Re: Overcards out of position, too weak?

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I don't think you need anything more than just an overcards to bet the turn HU in this pot. But you do need to have a pretty good feel for the opponent, and access if you think his turn bet means strength. There's a good chance you're still ahead on the turn.

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Against an unknown Party 1/2 player I bet this turn a lot. Almost always, since the pot is heads up. 100 hands later, after I have confirmed my read that he is a typical weak tight Party 1/2 player, I'll usually bet the river unimproved too and watch him fold.

Reads are extremely important here, as is your table image. Some players will never fold their bottom/middle pair, especially if you've made some plays that look strange to them -- they'll always call you down. I'd still bet the turn then (likely) and but would check the river.

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You know, analyzing this originally I was viewing as if we are already beat and drawing. But the reality is that I am usually maniacally aggro in this situation w/ AQ in real life. I retract my previous analysis. I think the correct line is to continue leading the turn and river unless the opponent tells you to slow down w/ a raise. Then it becomes important to consider your reads.
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