Thread: over the course of 100K hands
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Old 12-12-2005, 03:27 AM
Megenoita Megenoita is offline
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Join Date: Oct 2004
Posts: 199
Default Re: over the course of 100K hands
It's decently probable. Probably 20-25% probable depending on your win rate. If your win rate is below really good, like under 2 BB/100 truly, then it's probably 20-25% probable. Having many 100 BB downswings is extremely normal. Having a 200 and a 300 is not very likely, but I would assume in 500k hands, it happens once or twice to a non-spectacular player.

I know Peter_Rus has had much fewer and more gentle swings than almost all other players. Win rate does affect variance significantly.
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