View Single Post
  #7  
Old 11-09-2005, 04:03 PM
Guest
 
Posts: n/a
Default Re: Raising the flop w/overs

[ QUOTE ]
There may be some merit to this, but OTOH, you're a 3.2:1 dog to make a pair with overs by the river, and this pot is tiny. You're getting 7:1 to peel so you have the odds to hit your 6 outs (assuming they're clean). If you raise, you're only getting 4:1 so you're taking -EV odds when you're drawing.

But more to the point, why fight a loose passive? I peel the flop and fold the turn UI. This LP has you beat 100% of the time.

[/ QUOTE ]

This is completely skewed thinking. When you have a passive opponent who is going to let you see two streets for a raise you should do so. If it's profitable to pay X to see Y chance of making your hand then you show a greater profit paying 2X for a 2Y chance (your rate of return stays about the same, but the net increases).

If it was an aggressive opponent donking out, or a passive opponent who'll still stop'n'go a blank turn, then you'd just peel, since you'd be paying more but rarely getting more.

This is a simple, correct, raise.
Reply With Quote