Re: Raising the flop w/overs
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There may be some merit to this, but OTOH, you're a 3.2:1 dog to make a pair with overs by the river, and this pot is tiny. You're getting 7:1 to peel so you have the odds to hit your 6 outs (assuming they're clean). If you raise, you're only getting 4:1 so you're taking -EV odds when you're drawing.
But more to the point, why fight a loose passive? I peel the flop and fold the turn UI. This LP has you beat 100% of the time.
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This is completely skewed thinking. When you have a passive opponent who is going to let you see two streets for a raise you should do so. If it's profitable to pay X to see Y chance of making your hand then you show a greater profit paying 2X for a 2Y chance (your rate of return stays about the same, but the net increases).
If it was an aggressive opponent donking out, or a passive opponent who'll still stop'n'go a blank turn, then you'd just peel, since you'd be paying more but rarely getting more.
This is a simple, correct, raise.
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