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Old 12-01-2005, 02:55 PM
beset7 beset7 is offline
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Join Date: Nov 2004
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Default Re: Raise the river? Nut straight w/ 3-flush on the board in huge pot

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I wonder what percentage of the time we would need to bet getting freerolled to make just calling the river correct...


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let's say we win an average of 2BB from SB and 2BB from MP about 60% of the time we win, and chop 2BB with SB 40% of the time when we win. so we win an average of 2.8 BB when we win. When we lose, we will lose 3BB (assuming we just call). So, we have to not be up against a flush a little more than half the time for this river raise to be good. I think we are.

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Thanks this makes a lot of sense.
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