First off, I don't think making it 3K with AK is bad and I don't think calling is bad either. Here, I called specifically because UTG is not that good and might well hang himself on a worse ace, and because I don't mind calling a push behind me with that many dead chips (if you had AQ somewhere back there, wouldn't you be tempted?)
So CO pushes. He's good, which to me means something other than straight 'TAG', and I think his range is pretty large. I'm already hitting the call button in my head when the button calls.
Now I have a decision to make. Based on some hand ranges and a slight read, I believe one of my outs is in either UTG or UTG+1's hand somewhere. However, this obviously also makes AA/KK even less likely from the button, because not two but three aces/kings are accounted for. It is also good to remember the very similar hand posted here a week ago when button had 44.
So I pushed. Button actually thought a little bit before calling with QQ, and CO had JTs. (UTG said he folded AQ.) That was about what I expected to see...
http://twodimes.net/h/?z=1379497
pokenum -h as kd - qd qh - jc tc / ad qs
Holdem Hi: 1086008 enumerated boards
cards win %win lose %lose tie %tie EV
As Kd 384424 35.40 698479 64.32 3105 0.29 0.355
Qd Qh 466312 42.94 616591 56.78 3105 0.29 0.430
Jc Tc 232167 21.38 850736 78.34 3105 0.29 0.215
http://twodimes.net/h/?z=1379508
pokenum -h as kd - qd qh / ad qs jc tc
Holdem Hi: 1086008 enumerated boards
cards win %win lose %lose tie %tie EV
As Kd 469910 43.27 610434 56.21 5664 0.52 0.435
Qd Qh 610434 56.21 469910 43.27 5664 0.52 0.565
With the dead chips in the pot and the benefits of winning this hand (a top 10 stack in the tournament) I think the push is pretty easy.
Comments?