[LetYouDown]

Approach seems right. You could just say that you expect a pocket pair 1 out of every 17 hands. I'd do the standard deviation on it as it seems pretty low, but I'm running out the door. Someone should be able to do it quickly.


Edit: If my math is anywhere near right, your STDEV for pairs in 3114 hands should be ~13.13. You're pretty far outside that range. I may have screwed something up but I really gotta go now =).