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Old 11-19-2005, 10:44 AM
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Default Re: Pocket Queens - spewing like a mofo??

what is it, QQ win ~35% overall, and almost 80% HU? here, come the flop, you're either WA or WB, true, but statistically you're anywhere from 2 to 1 to win, to 1 to 8 to win, and getting 4.25 to 1. this is a BIG overlay. you have to stay in the pot.

a lot of times guys bet according to formula: theyre in the BB, SB, CO, and they raise because they've heard they "should": they have a medium pair, and raise because it's a "value play". a lot of guys will bet an uncoordinated board like this, with an A showing, or a K, to scare other players into giving them a free card, or enable them to bluff the river. the point is, with this guy, you have no reads. when he calls your flop, he may be slowplaying, with the intention to raise your turn or river; he may be thinking you have anything from KK to KJs; or he may be playing tentatively because he's as ignorant of you as you are of him.

what you do know, is that you're getting strong odds to play your QQ, 5.25 to 1 on the turn, and 7.25 to 1 on the river.

i think you played it right. you yielded the lead and trailed his play, preserving capital. you might have gotten tricky on the flop, check raising or something, but that would have more than likely cost you money: he calls or raises you, and you're still uncertain of his holdings.

basically, this is what poker is, walzing in the dark with a partner that may be just as likely toad as beauty queen.

you pays your money and you takes your shot.
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