Re: Priced In
I do not know whether if not telling us your hand was intentional but it does make it an interesting problem.
Okay one way of looking at this is that AA v 72 off is about 7/1 pre-flop so if the pot is offering better than 7/1 then your hand is irrelevant so is your opponents.
Anything less than that then you need to think about what your opponent has and how likely are you to outdraw him assuming that there is no chance you have the best hand. The pot is offering a little bit less than 3/1. If he has a big pair (jacks or better) in most instances you will not be getting anything close to pot odds best case scenario is about 3/1 for suited 65 against AA. However if he makes the move with any 2 big cards any low pair is a 50:50 shot which represents value low or middle suited connectors are around 6/4 again value. The decision is all about the likely range your opponent has there needs to be enough 50:50 & 60:40 shots to compensate for the situations you are a big dog.
The guy is under pressure from the blinds so the range might be big enough but he is not the 1st to act so he must have some strength as he cannot rule out a value call from you, if he is a generally solid player I think this is just a fold. Otherwise with a loose action player who has one eye on a cash game that has just started up it’s a call.
Regards
Ross
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