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Old 08-01-2005, 11:10 AM
Paxosmotic Paxosmotic is offline
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Join Date: Mar 2005
Location: Donking
Posts: 678
Default Re: Wait for the turn for more equity or not?

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Check/raise the flop. Lead the turn.

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This is probably my favorite line as well. We've got a small equity advantage over everyone, so every bet that goes into this pot is profitable. We will lose if a spade comes, so 34% of the time we're drawing dead (there's a 1% chance the spade is a queen and the next card is a queen or a jack). Beyond that, we're probably winning most of the time if a spade doesn't fall. That puts our equity right around 50% against what will probably be 3 opponents.

On top of that, with the small pot size this is the best chance to scare a naked spade away. Anyone holding the 8[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] might be considering taking a look at a turn card that could beat us, but raising here might move them off it.
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