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Old 10-21-2005, 06:49 PM
kross kross is offline
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Join Date: Nov 2004
Location: Seattle, WA
Posts: 105
Default Re: A typical river situation that confuses me

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So, it it's a bluff, he most likely won't call your raise. If it's a one-pair hand, he will probably call. If it's two pair, you're most likely toast.

So I think a call is better than a raise.

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This is what I typically go by (and what I did here), but I can't help feeling that I'm missing out on a lot of bets in the long run by not raising enough rivers HU. In this case it likely wouldn't have mattered (he was betting a busted straight draw with 84o), but it seems like there are a lot of times when I flat call and my opponent flips over a decent 1-pair hand, which he would probably have called a raise with.

But, at the same time, I would probably have vomited with rage if I had been 3-bet by a better two pair/runner runner straight. [img]/images/graemlins/confused.gif[/img]

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According to Sklansky, you have to think your hand is good 55% of the time that he calls your raise for a raise to be right. I don't feel that confident here.
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