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Old 12-21-2005, 05:18 PM
gumpzilla gumpzilla is offline
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Join Date: Feb 2005
Posts: 1,401
Default Re: Curtains defends his blinds (with bonus comedy hand!)

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I think that people on 2+2 suffer from a "worst case" mindset. What I mean is that it seems some of you believe that 100% of the time when we call this preflop our opponent will bet the flop.

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No, I don't believe this. What I do believe is that it will happen quite often, and most of the time when it happens you're going to be folding after putting in ~30% of your stack preflop. If this opponent is poor enough to minraise and check two streets on this rather scary board, don't you think that they are very likely to fold their minraise to a push over the top PF? Notice also that you also ended up with a board where he didn't bet and you were still paralyzed.

EDIT: Also, I just saw this:

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In any case the pot odds Im getting preflop are too good IMO for me to fold to a min raise. I would have folded to a 125 raise however.

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??? How about 105? I bet that makes a huge difference in the profitability, too. Against many opponents, the minraise is more likely to be a big hand, and as such usually compensate for the miniscule improvement in direct odds you're getting. I really don't think this last bit makes sense.
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