[Nicholasp27]

yep, it has to be a better than random hand to meet the criteria for a s-n-g, cause a s-n-g is when they raise and you cold call then push on flop...so only hands that they will raise with should be considered

wish we could simulate this...we know how a range of hands will do against us from pf to the river but we don't know how it will do against our hand after the river only...


but can we boil this down to only 2 broad scenarios in which you are >35% after the flop?

you are >35%:
you are ahead after the flop
you are have 9+ outs to beat him