Re: Ducks
I started posting a long reply on this hand, and then started double-guessing myself. Now I'm not totally sure what the best play is.
I think you have to weigh the possibilities that you're 1) ahead, 2) behind to a flush, and 3) behind to a higher set. If you're ahead, then obviously capping is the right play. If you're behind to another set, then you're drawing to one out. But set over set happens so infrequently.. and just because of a raise/3-bet on the turn, you can't assume set. It's certainly possible, though. If you're behind to a flush, then you still have ten solid outs to win.
The pot is laying 11.75:2.. slightly below 6:1. That's too big to fold a live ten-out draw. But then there's the small possibility that either of your opponents have a higher set. I just don't know, and I'm confusing myself. In reality, I probably cap this and pray I fill up on the river.
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