Re: value bet river?
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Bet the turn. You are much more likely to get called by a worse hand there than on the river.
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this is a good point.
against aggressive players, i see a lot of check-raises on this turn with both small pairs and ace high. a LAG will always bluff the river if i check through on the turn, although a strong aggressive player may or may not. (hes more likely to bluff with KQ than bet AQ). but this opponent was not aggressive and betting the turn would have been better.
what play do you like against a LAG and what play do you like against a TAG, both of whom are aware of the steal situation we are in? in particular- do you always bet regardless of opponent, if you do- do you always fold to a check-raise?
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