View Single Post
  #15  
Old 10-21-2005, 01:40 PM
Scuba Chuck Scuba Chuck is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Nov 2004
Location: 1-table tournaments
Posts: 1,537
Default Re: ($10+$1) Is this worth a coin flip?

[ QUOTE ]
Is this worth a coin flip at this stage in the tournament in order to double up and be ni with a chance of getting ITM:


[/ QUOTE ]

[ QUOTE ]
Dealt to HERO [ 9h, As ]


[/ QUOTE ]

[ QUOTE ]
UTG+1 raises (200) to 200

[/ QUOTE ]

[ QUOTE ]
MP2calls (200)

[/ QUOTE ]

<font color="blue"> By the end of your tenure here, you are either going to love us or hate us. Let's start this exercise by considering the number of hands that A9o fears. AA, KK, QQ, JJ, TT, AK, AQ, AJ, AT. 9 hands. And then you're a coinflip against all pairs, and a slight favorite against any two card combos above a 9.

OK, the next statement is almost nearly fact. This is precisely the hand range of the two players that have voluntarily put money into the pot. Be sure to read into my comments clearly. I'm not saying that you can't win this pot, because any two cards can win. But your hand is very vulnerable.

I think you're missing a big understanding of NL poker that can be summed up into one concept. The Gap Concept. I highly recommend you go and read about it. I think that Sklansky discusses it in TPFAP.

Scuba </font>
Reply With Quote