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Old 08-30-2004, 02:46 AM
DcifrThs DcifrThs is offline
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Join Date: Aug 2003
Posts: 677
Default Re: 15/30 hand (for Manicmailman and mike l)

[ QUOTE ]
Run the math that you are only good 1 in 6 times when you hit and button raises 50% - 20%. It's a fold. Give yourself ~6SBs (when not raised) in implied odds too.

The fact that the button gets the raise button on his screen here makes these long shot draws a fold. You want 22:1, say you are getting 20:1 he raises you are getting 10:1, he raiss 50% of the time 15:1, 30% 17:1. Given that you could get there and lose and lose more BBs makes this a fold.

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first, i just pulled 1/6 out of nowhere and its likely less than that given how much more likely AK/AKs is than AA or QQ (not to mention JTs or small pair gambling) and that the button has done NOTHING but call. why would he suddnely raise here? its much less than 30% he'll raise in my mind.

-Barron
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