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Old 12-06-2005, 01:40 PM
callydrias callydrias is offline
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Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: 325+ BB Downswing
Posts: 187
Default Re: how many outs do i have?

[ QUOTE ]
enough. he has A7/A5/K7/55/little spades a lot more than he has you drawing dead

[/ QUOTE ]

The "little spades" part caught my eye here. Of the 9 unseen [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]'s, two thirds of them are smaller than T. Even then there's still a 58% chance you're drawing dead if your opponent has 2 random [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]'s.

Just for fun, here's a breakdown of the hands that beat us and the outs we have to win (not chop) weighted by their likelihood. Given the preflop and flop action, we'll rule out AA/KK/AK/K7/77.

<font class="small">Code:</font><hr /><pre>
Hand Ways Outs Weighted
A5 6 3+9 1.2
A7 6 3+9 1.2
K5 6 5+9 1.4
Ks5 3 5 0.25
55 3 8 0.45
XsYs 36 9*0.42 3.36
---- ----
60 7.86 = Total Outs
</pre><hr />

So, yeah, we have plenty of outs to see the river. Calling UI? I don't think so.
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