Re: River advice needed, party $30/$60.
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#2 - three bet, he is going to pay you off with that king, you never defined your hand enough for him to be fairly certain you have that A, thus the raise when the king hit. id say its over a 50% chance he is either bluffing a scare card hoping you will fold something like TT, or he has the king and will pay off the three bet.
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I don't like the 3-bet.
I think you have to be good 75% of the time to raise the river here in case he caps. I don't think villian is good that often here. While I think he has odds to call an unknown that may have just paired his K, I think it is >25% likely that villian just improved to 2 pair.
Maybe I've been missing bets here though...
What % of time is an unknown, a pssive, and a tag CR'ing this river with less than 2 pair?
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