Re: $33 Poll: 8 Left; 15/30 Blinds
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Nothing surprises me on the 33s...actually, the only thing that surprises me is how i consistantly over-estimate the skill of my opponent. my gut tells me to fold this hand...and i would instafold if i were playing this hand instead of you...but again, preference. my argument against raising is there is no need to make a move like this this early in the sng. to me, the level of the sng is like position in the hand...the earlier the level or position, the stronger my hand needs to be.
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I agree with you.
what if, however, you amended that last statement to say: "the earlier the level or position, the stronger my hand needs to be, or the weaker my opponents needs to be".
I think this would be +ev. I'm not saying pull off bluffs all the time, but this hand is a strong spot to pick up a pot, in my opinion.
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