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Old 10-04-2005, 11:41 AM
Rolf Slotboom Rolf Slotboom is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2002
Location: Amsterdam, Netherlands
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Default Re: Fold AAxxss preflop fold vs. other \"big\" hands??

Hi Joewatch,

Of course you should not fold! You are in a game where no player has more than 130x the big blind, so it's not like a cash game that you see occasionally (especially in Britain) with extremely deep money. Yeah sure, if someone else has aces too, you don't like it, but this is far from certain. And the hand match-up by the first reply with the two rundown hands is nice, but it is exactly what it is: made up. The betting by no means suggests that this exact hand match-up is out there, because it is actually MUCH more likely you are up against big cards and / or the two players hold some of each other's cards. (And even in this made-up hand match-up, even if indeed you would win just 30% of the time, then folding would STILL be incorrect.) Just as likely is that you are up against QQAK and a second player with KKxx, making you a MASSIVE money favorite - meaning that folding the current best hand would be an absolute disaster.

All in all, in online (shallow-money) games, you should NEVER pass on the opportunity to go all-in with aces whenever that's possible. Yeah sure, occasionally you may be slightly wrong when some other player has aces too, but usually you will be VERY right, so there is no need to break your head figuring out if maybe, possibly, this could be one of these "slightly wrong" situations. Just stick it in and hope your hand wins. This is ESPECIALLY true when you have already invested money in the pot and / or there is dead money in the pot. As in this case, you have already put in $6 with a stack of just slightly more than $200, and there is also additional dead money in the pot. All of this means that in a 3-way pot, you would need to have MUCH LESS than 33.3% pot equity in a 3-way pot, and much less than 25% 4-way. Now, in this situation, going all-in with your aces is a no-brainer, especially now that one of your aces is suited. Any other decision than going all-in would be an awful play. Even if you were 90% certain that one of the others has aces too (especially the biggest stack), then folding would STILL be awful. And it should be clear that you can almost never be that certain, meaning that in my view folding is out of the question - period.

Rolf Slotboom
www.rolfslotboom.com
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