Thread: Two Questions
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Old 08-06-2002, 05:26 AM
Posts: n/a
Default Learn to think!

I suspect David's answer would have been longer if we had all fallen for his trap. Perhaps something like this:

I told you to think and not plug numbers mindlessly into your formulas and calculators. I asked for the prediction most likely to be correct, not the time it would take to be more likely than not to win. I only required you to be within 100 and many of you were off by thousands. The correct prediction is the first play since its probability of 1/40000 is maximum. If you don't know how I got that you should stop reading this forum at once. You don't know enough about probability, and you deserve to be taken out back and shot.

How'd I do?
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