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Old 12-19-2005, 07:41 PM
Piers Piers is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2002
Posts: 246
Default Re: How low would you go...

Playing with http://sharnett.bol.ucla.edu/ICM/ICM.html assuming the stack sizes are after posting blinds (not clear form post). Prize fund is (.57,.286,.144)

If you fold stack sizes are (524,100,15) giving a EV of 312.5.
If you call and win stack sizes are now (400,224,15) giving an EV of 377.8.

You should call if you chance of winning is grater than p against his range where

p = .3125/.3778=.82715. or nearly 83%

Aces will always be worth a call.
If you reckon he is rasing more than two thirds of the time, which he probably is, then you can call with kings. Also calling with queens would only be a small mistake. Calling with anything else would be a big mistake.
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