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Old 12-18-2005, 02:47 AM
handsome handsome is offline
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Join Date: Mar 2005
Posts: 616
Default Re: $EV of limp-calling with AA on the bubble?

Thanks to Yugo I am now informed about ICM calculations. Anyway, I made a surprising discovery.

equity (%) win (%) tie (%)
Hand 1: 85.2037 % 84.93% 00.27% { AA }
Hand 2: 14.7963 % 14.52% 00.27% { random }

$EV Win: 85.2037% / $192.55
$EV Lose: 14.7963% / $0

UTG limp-calling = $164.06, if Hero will always push. That is significantly more valuable than folding (obviously) or pushing. I didn't expect that.

Anyway wow. I certainly learned something new today. Mr_J's reply was quite useful and I will probably be minraising in this type of situation (AA only, KK is probably a different story..)
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