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Old 09-30-2005, 01:28 PM
Slacker13 Slacker13 is offline
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Join Date: Oct 2003
Location: Fort lauderdale
Posts: 216
Default Re: Going against the public

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What does this tell you? The line was moving strong in favor of the Rams in week one. Does it mean you should fade the line move as well as the public?

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You should read through some of my old posts on this subject. The only line moves than mean anything are those when the line is first posted and in the last few minutes leading up to gametime. The only exception would be a major injury report that comes out. Other than that the line moves in between that time are the general public. However, if you "read between the lines" a lot of information is at your finger tips. If Pit is -3 lay 05 juice it may be a good indication the sportsbooks are baiting you to take Pit.

Sportsbooks are out to make money and it would be very hard to beleive that they dont have opinions on games themselves. I know small bookmakers who adjust lines to bait the public, why wouldn't the alrge sportsbook do it too. I have heard and i honestly do not know if it is true or not but i have heard that the casinos communicate with one another and will select certain games to bait the public to make money for the books. Like i said i dont know if it true but why wouldn't they? I would if i owned a sportsbook. When the general public looks at a line and you hear a large amount of people saying this line is ridiculous, or this is the lock of the year, etc, and the game goes down and averyone is saying how they cant beleive it yada yada, well the sportsbook may have set that game up and are laughing all the way to the bank. It is these situations I like to look for in a line. I want to be on the side of the sportsbook, becuase they always win.
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