Re: Tough Turn Decision
My mistake Bruce, you are correct. That does change things a little. Does it change a fold into a call? Giving the SB credit for trip 8's, how many outs do we have? 8, 4, or 0. I still think calling the check-raise on the turn and calling a jam on the river if the str8 gets there is a pretty marginal play. Call me weak-tight, but I still think I fold after the check-raise for the same reasons already cited.
With position, I would forgo the semi-bluff bet on the turn, because that is how I'd normally play a big pair (which is the hand that's been represented up to this point). Get to the river for free and reevaluate the action should the str8 get there. Given the results, I suspect that line would have won the same amount that the hero's line did, but at much reduced risk.
-Oz-
|