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Old 10-08-2005, 01:37 AM
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Default Re: Is it mathematically possible to be unlucky?

Interesting question.

If you're talking about things over which you have no control at all, then yes. You can get in a bus crash twice. Several members of your family can die soon after one another. You can win the lottery twice if you're in it.

However, most situations in life, a person's choices and actions are far greater than 'random' probability. IMO you can prepare adequately for most important situations so that chance becomes no longer a factor. Examples are being on time for an appointment, exam questions, meeting a girl, getting a good job, etc.

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I am wondering because whenever i am in a 50/50 situation especially in life not just poker, things seem to go south rather than north.

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Often you need to be proactive to get the desired outcome in situations where things could go either way. People also have a tendency to overestimate their own skill level or underestimate the effort required to achieve a result, so failure appears as bad luck when it was actually the most likely outcome.

Do you have an example of these 50/50 situations? It's hard to tell if they really are random chance events without knowing what they are.
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