Thread: Who bats 9th?
View Single Post
  #20  
Old 12-15-2005, 10:41 PM
rwperu34 rwperu34 is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Dec 2004
Posts: 71
Default Re: Who bats 9th?

[ QUOTE ]
Yes. He will get approximately 20 more PA, and when he comes to bat at the beginning of the game he'll always be batting with 0 or no outs. Unless you have two great hitters in front of him, you'll rarely have two men on for him anyway, and you're pretty much assured that his at-bats will come with less expectancy because there will be 1 ot 2 out.

[/ QUOTE ]


If all things were equal, including the OBA/SLG relationship, this would be a great way to optimize your lineup. But if you have a player with a 350/585 hitting right in front of a player with a 400/450, you will be costing yourself runs.

Also, the EV of a basepath clogger like David Ortiz being on base and a speed deamon like Johnny Damon or even a normal slow guy like Bill Mueller is not the same, no matter how many outs. So you set your lineup so Ortiz is more likely to come up with runners on and less likely to be starting rallys. That would be #3 or #4, with two or three of your better batters are hitting right in front of him, not #2, where two of your worst hitters will be hitting in front of him.
Reply With Quote