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Old 11-29-2005, 03:48 PM
Buzz Buzz is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2002
Location: L.A.
Posts: 598
Default Re: PLO8 Surprising flop equity comparison

Trader - Very interesting.

I thought you must have copied something incorrectly and so I ran the same hands using Wilson.
flop...Kh4cTc
auto stop point...10000 deals
hand.........high..low...scoop..total
4sAdAh8h...288...145...3812...4245
3s5c2c4h....145...288...5322...5755

Best high hands on river:
hand.........4sAdAh8h......3s5c2c4h
pair...........4026..........1542
two pair......3988..........3542
trips..........1213...........359
straight.........0...........460
flush...........435..........3839
full house.....327...........229
quads............11.............0
total.........10000.........10000

Winning high hands:
hand.........4sAdAh8h......3s5c2c4h
pair............845.............0
two pair......2285..........1273
trips...........485.............0
straight.........0...........403
flush...........435..........3672
full house.....327...........229
quads............11.............0
total..........4388..........5577

Losing high hands:
hand.........4sAdAh8h......3s5c2c4h
pair...........3181..........1542
two pair......1703..........2269
trips...........728...........359
straight.........0............51
flush.............0...........167
full house.......0.............0
quads.............0.............0
total..........5612..........4388

Looking it over, yes it was the baby flush draw that pushed 3s5c2c4h ahead of 4sAdAh8h in the high wins category.

My ratio, using Wilson, is 5755/4245 = 1.356,
not quite the same as 577/423 = 1.364, but close. I'd get a different ratio if I ran the same sim again using Wilson, because of the random deal way Wilson accumulates the data. Might be a bit higher than your ratio next time. Or if I made the auto stop point 100,000 instead of 10,000 the ratio would probably be closer to 1.364. Whatever.

The power of the baby flush draw!

At any rate, who'd have thunk it? [img]/images/graemlins/crazy.gif[/img]

Buzz
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