Thread: bluff
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  #16  
Old 10-09-2005, 06:45 PM
Roy__Batty Roy__Batty is offline
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Join Date: Nov 2004
Posts: 21
Default Re: results

you have to make him laydown the winner at least 78,5% of the time to be EV+ with your all in.
Then i think it's way too risky to justify that move. If your opponent is kinda solid and he thinks you are, then a slight overbet (125% of the pot) should be enough to make him laydown a king.
What's more, with your risky play, you will make him laydown a few hands that you beat. After all, you open raised on the cut off, he may well have called with 77.
I don't like that all in. Think it's EV- with such a big stack (278$ to take a 76-Rake=73$ pot)
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