Re: im in satellite bubble hell - EPT rebuy sat
Here is how this question should be rephrased:
You're a little under 70/30 vs. the typical big stack call range. Do you have a 70/30 chance of folding in?
Answer: let's say you try to fold in. Perhaps someone will push and get called first, and perhaps not. However, some of the time that happens, they will win at showdown, so overall, I would estimate your chances of not having to win with a random hand at maybe 30-40%. Between that and the random hand part, I think you have enough equity in folding to fold AK, but not QQ, assuming you *always* get called.
However, no one except the BB will call you without a monster and the BB should probably fold *some* of his hands, so sometimes you'll take the blinds without a showdown. That means I'd probably push AK, TT+ here.
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