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Old 09-13-2005, 09:55 PM
grandgnu grandgnu is offline
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Join Date: Oct 2004
Location: Pokah Is Nice, I Love Play Pokah (Chau Giang quote) Location: Massachusetts
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Default Re: theory q.

[ QUOTE ]
What you are saying about the value of your chips is a good argument for not trying the steal in the first place. But it's not a good argument for refusing to call an extra 3k when you have the odds. What if the min-raise, somehow, was only an extra 2k? 1k? 5 bucks?

[/ QUOTE ]

But it's not that little. And we can't afford to spew off more chips on such a marginal hand, that even if it hits is most likely beat by an overpair in these type of situations. Do you expect your opponent, out of position with 12K in the pot and just about that much left in chips himself, to check to you on the flop? He's betting no matter what, so unless you flop a monster with your 10/8 suited (how often does this happen?) you are not just calling the min-raise for 3K, you're calling for the rest of your stack.

Unless you plan to fold in all cases where you don't hit a piece of the flop (which is most of the time). If that's the case, then it's -EV since you're just throwing away your 3K the majority of the time, and stand to lose more chips in the long-run than you'll win when you do outdraw your opponent.

If Hero had a much deeper stack, this would be a different situation, but he's in no danger of going out, has position and can wait for a better spot.
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