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Old 09-09-2005, 11:42 PM
J. Stew J. Stew is offline
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Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 191
Default Re: Did villain play this wrong, or did I?

If he's got AQ he's getting 8-1 on the turn and needs about 11-1 with about four outs assuming he thinks you have an overpair. If he's got K10o he's getting the odds to call the turn. His river play looks like an aggressive AQ, or K10. He can only have AQ three ways and can have K10 16 ways but I think he would have capped the flop with K [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]10 [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] so he's got 15 ways to beat you, while you beat 3. It costs you one to win 14 on the river and you're good 1 in 5 times assuming he plays AQ and K10 the same way here so a call is +ev.
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