Re: Lucky or good?
Note that without the pair of sevens, and thus two more outs to three sevens, he would have been a bigger dog, and if you plug that into my analysis he would have been much more -EV.
Also note your 56:44 is almost identical to the chart in HPFAP's #s and the twodimes.net analysis, a coinflip with a slight disadvantage.
al
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