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I don't have any idea as to the percentages in NCAABB so I can't help you there but, how do you figure you're only risking $125?

Maryland wins by >3 you win $850-$1070 = (-$220)
Gonzaga wins you win $1000-$1130.5 = (-$130.5)

so your average risk is about $175 and it's not balanced so you'll be rooting for the Bulldogs (assuming the middle doesn't come through).

Assuming 1,2 & 3 are all equally likely you're risking about $175 to win an average of about $1520 ($1850 on 1 or 2, $850 on 3) so you need to catch one of these numbers about 11%-12% to break even. Sounds high, but as I said I don't know the breakdown for NCAA hoops margins.

EDIT: Typo $850-$1070 = -$220

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Because 1070 - 850 is 120. [img]/images/graemlins/grin.gif[/img]