[1800GAMBLER]

even though i underrepresented my hand there are hands like AK AJ KK JJ that i could have here that if he does have AQ he has to fear. admittly players do just auto bet here but this guy was a decent regular.

if we put his range at KJ and AQ, then KJ has to be 13x times more likely. combination wise it's 12 vs 9. so we need 90% of players with AQ to either always c/r the flop OR always check the river for us to fold.

If 70% check the river and 60% c/r the flop. that leaves 0.3 * 0.4, 88% of players who would play AQ the way the above line was played. The EV of the river call is way way closer than i imagined.