[HesseJam]

I think overall he is right but his outlook is a bit too gloomy.

It will take some time before the games toughen up but they surely will but not as tough as he might think. If they toughen up there is a chance that rake will go down if the current high rake/ high bonus frequency scheme is ineffective to attract enough fish for mediocre/good players.

I also think that a lot of the better college poker players will drop out or at least noticably decrease playing time when they take up a job.

I do not think that China will be the answer unless you are comfortable to play at a site with Chinese chat and Chinese charcters.

OTH, Poker has yet to hit continental Europe sans Scandinavia. I see much more medium term growth there than in Asia. I am a bit puzzled that it has not happened yet. Maybe English is an entry barrier?