I hate preflop. UTG seems to be a weak-tight ABC raiser who just replaced a very bad player. I did not notice until the flop. Button is a LAG who often coldcalls with big cards and any PP.
On the turn, I can read UTG's hand pretty well for 88-JJ, AJ/~AQ (I've seen him raise the flop w/ AQo in a similar spot).
I can dictate the rest of the hand fairly easily, though I am always behind. If I check the turn, he will bet the river w/ an ace else check to me. Or I can bet, hoping to fold a better PP but costing myself those times he's committed to calling down (I judged this to be highly likely) and I'm drawing to 6 outs. Sometimes I'll forfeit my outs to a raise, also.
Is the turn worth a bet?
Party Poker 15/30 Hold'em (8 handed)
FTR converter on zerodivide.cx
Preflop: Hero is MP1 with 8[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 8[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img].
<font color="#CC3333">UTG raises</font>, <font color="#666666">
1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero 3-bets</font>, <font color="#666666">
2 folds</font>, Button calls, <font color="#666666">
2 folds</font>, UTG calls.
Flop: (10.66 SB) A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 6[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
UTG checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, Button folds, UTG calls.
Turn: (6.33 BB) 4[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
UTG checks, ...