Re: 10/20 6max: standard call down or easy fold?
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You are vastly, and i mean VASTLY overestimating the range here that a villian with a .35 aggression factor has when he check raises this turn.
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I was trying to take into account his VPIP in addition to his aggression factor, which means that he is fairly aggressive relative to hand strength.
I agree we are drawing dead here some of the time, I'm going to try to figure out some way of estimating that chance and how we fare on the river when certain cards come off.
If we assume that this guy never checkraises here as a semibluff or with a hand like A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] then sure we can fold the river UI. But I think that is a tough assumption to make based only on numbers.
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