Re: A river situation that gives me problems...
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So we are value betting against worse hands and folding to raise on the river hopefully to better hands.
I just see him folding AQ, AJ a lot more here than if we were to just check and maybe he'll bluff (I think this happens a bunch). I also don't see why we bet here if he has a better hand like Js or Qs, do we think he will fold?
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In my experience, big aces do not bluff very much. It's just an extension of the idea that players with hands with some showdown quality seem to bluff less than they should.
A bet against typical opponents is purely for value. AQ / AJ is much more common than QQ / JJ, by almost 3:1.
my 2 cents.
Eric
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