Thread: 83s
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  #26  
Old 11-03-2005, 10:43 AM
Peter_rus Peter_rus is offline
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Join Date: May 2004
Location: Moscow
Posts: 647
Default More shoddy work

Hello ,

Instead of debating of why my work was shoddy - i'll answer you with calculations, that assume your 1.33SB gain from flush-draw.

So it's 3-way and we have 5-1 with our 3-8 in our BB.
0.84% we will hit complete flush. We will win 3BB's.

3.47% we will have two pairs/trips. We will win in average 2.5BB with such holdings.

10.94% we will hit 4-flush to net 0.66BB's as you said

28.85% we will hit a pair to net -0.3BB's

1.6% we will hit 245,456,567,679,79T to net -0.1BB

54.3% we will hit nothing to get -0.99BB (occasional checking out the flop and hitting on turn or river)

If we add 0.84*3+3.47*2.5+10.94*0.66-28.85*-0.3-1.6*0.1-54.3*0.99=-44.16BB. It's -0.442bb/hand and it's higher than -0.5BB/h if we just fold.


Btw: You can agree or disagree with me. But saying someone's work is shoddy without any meaningfull reasons isn't way good in meta-game purposes at least for such somewhat respectfull poster as you are.
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