Re: Play from the blinds: KTo
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Although the river bet looks a lot like a value bet, there are plenty of second-best hands and semi-bluffs UTG+1 has here that you beat, and you only have to be right like 1/3 times to make the call CEV+, and you aren't crippled if you're wrong. NH.
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Let's try this from another perspective:
Although there are enough semibluffs you need to call this turn raise and you are getting 3:1ish on it, you will see a river bet almost all the time* and will have to pay it off given that you are calling the turn.
*The exception is when a flush hits and villain checks behind. In my experience you aren't ahead often when this happens, either.
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