[nietzreznor]

I think against a more passive or tight opponent, I would agree with you about the folding equity. But this opponent has been raising LOTS of flops, so he doesn't necessarily have to have a big hand here.
On the other hand, he checkraised me here, so I suppose its possible that his standards for checkraising here are a lot higher, but it sure doesn't seem like the case from what I've seen.