Re: QQ Turns a set on a 4-flush board - overplayed?
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I believe this is way off.
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Hmmm...now that I think about it, you're probably right. I was just parroting something I'd read a while ago, without doing the math. So my reasoning is a bit faulty here.
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...so about half the time your opponent has a flush here.
I think...
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You're numbers look good...but my intuition says you're a touch too high. Can't say why though. It's been too long since I "learned" this in college calc, and I can't remember how to do it heh. Still...I agree that it's likely significantly higher than 1/5.
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