View Single Post
  #1  
Old 07-20-2005, 12:04 PM
KeysrSoze KeysrSoze is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Mar 2005
Location: Reverse implied odds of 500000 to 900
Posts: 190
Default Strong draw with maniac on my left

UTG+1 is 66/18/2 so far and I've seen him bet and raise with just about any peice of it. Others are unknown, haven't made any waves so far...

Party Poker 0.50/1 Hold'em (9 handed) http://216.119.70.224/converter/hhconverter.pl

Preflop: Hero is BB with 2[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 6[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img].
<font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">UTG+1 raises</font>, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, MP2 calls, MP3 calls, CO calls, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, Hero calls.

Flop: (10.50 SB) 2[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 4[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 8[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(5 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, <font color="#CC3333">UTG+1 raises</font>, MP2 calls, MP3 folds, <font color="#CC3333">CO 3-bets</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero caps</font>, UTG+1 calls, MP2 calls, CO calls.

Turn: (13.25 BB) 3[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(4 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, <font color="#CC3333">UTG+1 raises</font>, MP2 calls, <font color="#CC3333">CO 3-bets</font>, Hero calls, <font color="#CC3333">UTG+1 caps</font>, MP2 calls, CO calls, Hero calls.

River: (29.25 BB) A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(4 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, <font color="#CC3333">UTG+1 raises</font>, MP2 folds, CO calls, <font color="#CC3333">Hero 3-bets</font>, UTG+1 calls, CO calls.

Final Pot: 38.25 BB

Heres my reasoning: Getting almost 10:1, closing the action and with the raiser immediatly to my left, decide to stick around for the flop. Flop comes, I have the flushdraw for my primary draw, but also have plenty of low-card pair, trip and bd straight outs, I'd like to protect those so I bet in hopes maniac will raise and clean up some of my outs for me. I get my wish, didn't knock many out though but cap for value with my probable edge assuming no other flushdraws are out there. Turn gives me a gutshot, my chances of winning against even a set are big (ran some numbers later that gave me %26), even greater if they have only overpairs, in this 4 way pot, so I bet out again. River I just went with on feel, I'm sure now that CO had a strong hand to start with and that ace could only get him in trouble. UTG+1 could have been going nuts all the way with a strong flushdraw and MP2 is an unknown, but I'm risking it. Someone is bound to raise, so I bet/reraise.

Any thoughts?
Reply With Quote