Re: What is the Risk of Ruin in this scenario?
Need more data!
If the player is a full-time pro who beats the NL$400 game for 5 big blinds ($20 and hour) over 4-tables, then he has $10,000 available to try in the NL$1000 game each month (if we assume he plays 125 hours a month). With this income, I would say he can take a shot every few months - and not be in bad shape if the $10k is lost.
If you are saying he is taking his entire roll to play the $1000 game, and will be busted if he loses - the element of ruin is probably 90%. $15K roll, probably 65% - and this is assuming they are able to keep from tilting it off after the first couple times they get shown miracle hands at the $1k game.
This of course means noting if they don't have a good 100k hands at the $400 game.
Dogmeat [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]
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