Re: Live 10/20 Question
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more likely you'll miss flop after flop in this situation
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I forget what it is exactly, but hero will get a flush draw or better (2 pair, trips) 1 out of 6 times.
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Okay, fine, but does that make the play profitable? So he flops a draw. Then on top of your 6:1, he now either has a decent hand (2 pair or trips) some of the time, or he's 2:1 or worse to complete his draws by the end, all the while still putting a lot of chips in the pot, not just his preflop call. Also figuring in the times his made hands will finish second best, this all amounts to dragging, what, one pot in 12? One in 15?
I play in these weak passive games live all the time, and I'm not at all against seeing flops against large fields with these speculative hands. But I just can't see a solid argument for profitability here. If you can, I'd love to see it.
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