Re: Value betting the river (again)
^^^^^^^ He ain't folding a flush draw seeing as he'd have just, you know, made his flush.
Well let's go to the chalkboard:
Pays us off (+1 BB)
AT (12)
KTs (3)
Beats us (-1 BB):
JJ (6)
Waiting to c/r our ass (-2BB):
AQs AJs KQs (1 each)
So an EV for our bet would be:
[(1)(12+3) + (-1)(6) + (-2)(3)] / (12+3+6+3) = +0.125BB.
So assuming you don't trigger the rake with a bet then yes it's worth it.
I was actually leaning toward a no until I did the math [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]
Edit: is there a chance he could have openraised with 98s? I think I'd fold it but it's hard to say what others would do.
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