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Old 07-15-2005, 06:55 PM
Pokerlogist Pokerlogist is offline
Junior Member
 
Join Date: Jul 2005
Location: USA
Posts: 10
Default Re: The stupid 3-doors problem

Here's another way to look at this. I have never seen it explained this way:

By chance alone, you will initally choose an empty door 2 of every 3 times. At every one of those "empty door" times, Monty is being forced to choose the only remaining empty door. He must indicate the prize door by default with 100% certainity every one of those times. He has got to indicate the correct prize door 2/3 of the time. So by always switching you will have to be right 2/3 of the time.
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