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Old 12-26-2005, 09:27 PM
async async is offline
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Join Date: Jul 2004
Posts: 12
Default Re: 11: how bad was this flop push?

[ QUOTE ]

Pushing isn't so bad, i figure you probably have to be a favorite, and it makes it easier when he bet out on AJ or who knows, K2diamonds, 89, KK, etc... On all of these you are the favorite (although on KK, you can have either 13 or 14 outs, which make you a reasonable favorite since it's based on 45 cards). Basically, you're pushing $1200 to win $3100, and you're probably about a 55% favorite.


[/ QUOTE ]

Heros odds vs:

KhKd: 48%
JhJd: 34%
JhTc: 45%
TcTs: 34%
AhKh: 54%
AhAc: 46%

The only way hero is >50% is if villain is on one pair with less than an ace kicker. (like, vs KT, 58%)

Not that hero needs to be a favorite for a push to be +EV, but he is probably not a favorite.
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