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Old 06-24-2005, 10:40 PM
Catt Catt is offline
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Join Date: Jan 2005
Posts: 998
Default Re: Flopping Sets Dry Spells

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Quite frankly, you guys are missing the basic understanding of mathmatical probability.

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You are falling prey to the most widespread and common misunderstanding of probability -- often called the "Gambler's Fallacy" in the context of gambling.

The cards / dice / coin have no memory and never know that they needs to "make up" for a previous streak. If you flip an honest coin 20 times and it comes up heads each time, does the likelihood of it coming up tails on the next throw exceed 50%? Does the likelihood of hitting a streak that is lopsided in favor of tails increase?
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